2025 Week 4: Packers vs. Cowboys Preview & Prediction

OK, first things first, Packer fans: the Packers (and, by extension, yours truly) really laid an egg in Cleveland last weekend. Huge favorites, the Packers offense couldn't get anything going. RB Josh Jacobs couldn't find any running lanes and QB Jordan Love was under frequent pressure from the strident Browns defensive front, led by DE Myles Garrett. Both problems stemmed from the makeshift offensive line; three of the regulars were out ... RT Zach Tom going down one play into the game. The backups were not ready for prime time ... or even game time, for that matter.

As was the case with the first two games, winning efforts both, the Pack's defense played well enough to win; if a team gives up 13 points one expects an offense such as the Packers to score more than that. Apart from the uninspired and mediocre play of the offense, head coach Matt LaFleur's play-calling in this effort didn't put the team in the best position to win either. Odd. And an upset of epic proportions was the result. Embarrassing.

The best we can hope for is that lessons were learned by one and all. In this regard, perhaps former Packers center (12 years, 1973-1984) and longtime broadcaster Larry McCarren said it best in a Packers-Cowboys preview segment on YouTube: (paraphrasing) One of the best motivators for a player is self-redemption in the next game following a poor performance. Many players on that offensive line in particular, as well as Jordan Love, should be motivated to show that they are better than they played in Cleveland. Let's see how that might play out.

Packers DT Devonte Wyatt will be counted on to get after

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott in tonight's game in Dallas.

(Photo via the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel)

The Preview

As Packers reporter Pete Dougherty writes in his pregame preview in the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, "The Packers have big injury issues on their offensive line, though, with Zach Tom (oblique) likely out, Aaron Banks (groin) very possibly out, and backup right tackle Anthony Belton (ankle) shaky to play." So, as noted in the earlier review of last week's game, this was not and is not a good situation for the Packers. But they have had all this week to prepare for it. Because the depth along the line is seriously lacking, the Pack actually elevated an O-lineman from the practice squad...just in case: center Lecitus Smith.

But as Dougherty also notes, he believes the Packers defense will rise to the occasion — especially with Micah Parsons' return to Jerry World — to do enough to hold down a challenged Dallas offense, who lost top WR CeeDee Lamb to injury last week. But they still have WR George Pickens and TE (and former Wisconsin Badger) Jake Ferguson, with Ferguson an early favorite this season for Prescott.

Yes, the buzz around this game has things set up as a revenge game between Parsons and Jerry Jones. No doubt, Parsons will have extra motivation in this game, which will raise the level of play of the entire Packers defense. Perhaps some of that mojo will carry over to the Pack's offense, which would certainly be nice side effect. On the flip side, DT Kenny Clark will similarly want to show his former Packer friends what they gave up by shipping him off to Dallas. There will be a lot of subtexts to this game, obviously.

With WR Jayden Reed out for the foreseeable future, and Christian Watson still not ready for return, this is a game that presents an opportunity for all the young wide receivers and tight ends to have a big day. That will depend on how well the running game goes. And both of those depend on whether the offensive line is able to create running and passing lanes for Jacobs and Love.

Let's hope that Larry McCarren's statement about personal redemption for players noted earlier really is at work tonight. As last week's game showed once again ... "On any given Sunday ...". We don't need two such games in a row ... especially going into the Week 5 bye week for the Pack.

The Prediction

The Packers are coming off a close and demoralizing loss to the Browns in which it could be argued they lost the game rather than Cleveland winning it (recall all the penalties and special teams snafus!), while the 'boys are coming off a blow-out loss to Da Bearz. Which is indicative of the true nature of each team? We think the latter.

That's why we are calling this game Packers 27 - Cowboys 17.

Go Pack Go!!!

2025 Week 3 Packers vs. Browns Preview & Prediction

After an extended layover from the Packers Week 2 win at Lambeau Field versus the Washington Commanders — oh, a winning effort at that to go 2-0! — the Pack have their first of two consecutive road games: Sunday in Cleveland against the 0-2 Browns, with the following game in Dallas.

A quick word about the win against Washington: for their second win in about five days, the Packers replicated a strong defensive performance and again had a balanced offensive attack. The defense had to scheme differently from the Week 1 win against Detroit. In that game, the defense faced an immobile albeit skilled quarterback in Jared Goff and got sufficient pressure on him in DE Micah Parson's limited debut with the Pack. In the game against the Commanders, the defense had to adjust 180 degrees against a young and extremely mobile QB in the form of Jayden Daniels. While the general idea in the first game was to make Goff move, the scheme in the second game was to contain Daniels and keep him from hurting you with his legs. Mission accomplished in both cases.

The Preview

We mention the above because the Packers defense will once again be facing an older immobile quarterback in the person of 40-year-old Joe Flacco. Admittedly, Flacco is still playing because he is a Super Bowl-winning quarterback. Yes, that was in 2013. But he has at this point in his career seen just about everything a defense can throw at him. So, given time, he could potentially do some damage.

But ... can we expect that the Packers defense will not reprise its level of play from the first two games? We don't think so. We think Parsons and the rest of the defense will wreak havoc on the Browns offensive line. Advantage Packers.

Now, let's not forget that arguably the other great defender in the NFL that can wreak roughly the same amount of damage as Parsons is the Browns' own Myles Garrett. The Packers will have to account for Garrett on every play. Like those attempting to defend against Parsons, Garrett will have to be double-teamed ... a lot.

Expect Packers QB Jordan Love to use play action to keep Garrett off-balance as much as possible and to get the ball out quickly on drop backs. It's still a bit unclear who the Packers will start at right tackle Sunday. But whomever it is, they will have their hands full. Let's pray Zach Tom can go.

Packers WR Christian Watson is still a few weeks away from returning to play.

(Photo by Dan Powers / USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin)

Ditto for TE Tucker Kraft who, like Tom, is listed as questionable going into the game. Add him to the still-out Christian Watson and the newly-added-to-the-IR-list Jayden Reed and the possible receivers for Love has taken an early hit. Luckily, the receiving and TE groups are deep. Next man up. Plus add in RB Josh Jacobs and the list of weapons for Love and head coach Matt LaFleur is still better than most teams in the league.

Bottom line: as far as who has the better offense, again, advantage Packers.

The Prediction

The odds at the time of this writing have the Packers winning by 7-1/2 points with the over-under set at 41-1/2 points.

We see this as a game that the Browns could keep close ... for a while ... unless the Packers get up early and keep the pedal to the metal and run away with the game start to finish.

We're calling it Packers 30 - Browns 17.

Go Pack Go!!!

2025 NFL Week 2: Packers vs. Commanders Preview & Prediction

First, let’s state the obvious: the Packers appeared indomitable in their season opener against the Lions. Yay!

Secondly, we wish to apologize for both the brevity and/or the appearance of this particular post. The writer is currently traveling and without access to the usual tools of the trade. Mea culpa.

So…the preview…

The key for the Packers tonight will be containing young phenom QB Jayden Daniels. If the defense can play with the same passion and aggressiveness as they did in the opener, things should go well. A few more days of Micah Parsons integrating into the defensive scheme sure won’t hurt.

Of course we cannot forget the Packers offense. It is loaded with playmakers and can look to replicate its game against Detroit minus the third quarter lull. Even head coach Matt LaFleur noted as much in his post-game comments. He also noted that was partially on him and his play calling. Agreed.

The Prediction…

We’re seeing this as another tough game, but one which should see the Pack notch win number two on the season.

We happened to watch an entire Madden 2025 simulation of this game a few days ago on YouTube. The end score: Packers 27 - Commanders 20. Sounds about right.

Go Packers Go!!!.

2025 NFL Week 1: Packers vs. Lions Preview & Prediction

Here we go, Packer fans...the first game in what some are speculating good very well be a Super Bowl year for the Green 'n' Gold.

While we are all on board with that speculation, we also have to remind ourselves it is the first game. A lot of games left. And a team doesn't win or lose the Super Bowl in this game. Still, it can help get you there. Beating a NFC North Division team today would equal the total wins the Packers had within the division all of last season (sorry for the reminder...eeewwww). And beating Detroit would really be a great thing — especially at Lambeau Field — as the Lions have had the Packers number for a few years running now...not great. Time to change that up. What is the likelihood of that? Let's take a closer, albeit brief, look.

For the first time in more than 2 decades, the Packers drafted a wide

receiver — Matthew Golden — in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft

held in Green Bay. While holding the first round jersey #1 here,

Golden will now be wearing #0 —  the first ever player to wear

that number as a Packer — after wearing #22 during the preseason.

(Photo via Milwaukee Journal Sentinel)

The Preview

Other than the lost of their offensive and defensive coordinators during the offseason (not insignifcant), the Lions coaching staff still has head coach Dan Campbell at the helm. That counts for a great deal as Campbell totally changed the Lions culture when he became head coach. He instilled a smash-mouth approach. Any team playing the Lions better be ready to play a full 60 minutes and match the physicality of Detroit.

The offensive and defensive units retain many of their key players, although the offensive line is a big question mark because of the new folks they have occupying the interior, particularly. Now, QB Jared Goff is a top quarterback...given time in the pocket. He is not mobile. His quarterback rating when under pressure is significantly lower than when given time. He has plenty of weapons, both with his running backs and receivers. So if the Packers don't get frequent pressure on Goff, it could be yet another long day for the Packers defense.

But...this is one of the many reasons the Packers traded for Micah Parsons; they needed to get more pressure on opposing QBs than was the case in recent years. Now, Parsons is not yet in full game shape due to sitting out the preseason and arriving in Green Bay after the trade with a back issue. Still, it would be hard to imagine the Packers sitting Parsons on such a big day. He probably will see a lot of work on third downs, especially. The key to getting to third downs for the Packers defense will be to find a way to replace the traded Kenny Clark in the middle of the D-line so they can stop the run.

Get to Goff, early and often, and the Packers have a great chance to win this game.

As for the Packers, they will need to open some spaces for RB Josh Jacobs so the passing game under QB Jordan Love has a chance to show what it can do. It will be interesting to see what kind of chemistry Love and rookie WR Matthew Golden are able to establish in this and other games going forward. This connection will be a key to the season, we believe. The other question about the receivers, of course, is whether they can actually hang on to the ball; dropped passes were a killer last year. Look for more use of two tight end sets as both Tucker Kraft and a healthy Luke Musgrave can also do damage as receivers, as well as help the running game.

The Prediction

At the time of this writing, the Packers are favored by 1.5 to 2.5 points. The over/under is set at 47.5 to 48.5 points. So, to no one's surprise, it is expected to be a close game. And it could very well be that the team with the ball last wins.

If it comes down to a field goal, we have to like K Brandon McManus who was automatic in training camp and preseason. Special teams typically don't get enough attention especially for the opener, but a play here or there could be the difference. Keep an eye on things here, too.

We're calling it Packers 27 - Lions 24.

Go Pack Go!!!

2025 NFL Season Preview & Prediction

While we may be a little late to the party with our overall season prediction for the Packers, better late than never.

As long-time readers of this blog may recall, we don't really do a game-by-game prediction except for the week of the individual game itself. Instead, we more or less break the season out into "quarters". Which worked perfectly fine before the NFL added a 17th regular season game. So it goes.

Let's take a look at what rolls out...we have no idea how we will wind up until we get through the entire season schedule. Yikes!

First Quarter

In this initial set of games, the Packers play Detroit and Washington at home on a short week, then they travel to play the Browns and Cowboys. The first two games seem to be a hard way to start the season, both with the quality of the opponent and the two games in four-five days routine. Still, we see the Pack starting strong, particularly after the addition of Micah Parsons to the defense; he raises the entire level of play of the entire unit.

Packers go 4-0 through these first games.

Packers QB Jordan Love showing off the "Winter White" uniform.

These will be worn in the Packers home game against the Washington

Commanders.

(Photo by Tork Mason, USA Today NETWORK-Wisconsin)

Second Quarter

The weird early season scheduling shows up again here: the Packers have their Bye Week in Week 5. Not as bad as it could be, but not great either. Looking at the 4 games that actually ensue following the bye, we have the Pack hosting the Bengals, then on the road to Arizona and Pittsburgh (hmmm....who do we know there???), then back home against Carolina. Should we be overly concerned about any of these?

Let's take the Packers again to go 4-0.

Third Quarter

Things could get interesting in this mid-portion of the season. We don't know what role injuries will play at this point, but we have to figure there could be some that impact overall performance. (On the other hand, it's likely that WR Christian Watson returns somewhere along the way here, boosting an already dangerous receiving corps.) In these four games, the Packers host the assumed Super Bowl favorite Eagles at Lambeau Field, then travel to take on the NY Giants, then return home for the first of their games against Minnesota, followed — once again — by a quick turnaround for the early Thanksgiving Day game against the Lions in Detroit.

Let say the Pack will go 2-2 during this tough stretch of the schedule.

Fourth Quarter (the 5-game section)

Heading down the stretch of weeks 14 through 18, the Packers play Da Bearz twice in three weeks...again, odd scheduling by the NFL. The first game is at Lambeau Field, then the Packers will travel to Denver, and then meet Da Bearz again in Chicago. The final two 2025 regular season games will see the Pack hosting the Ravens and then winding up the season in Minnesota. Not an easy series of games by any stretch of the imagination with only two home games.

But if the Packers want to once again be the Leaders of the North and win the division, they need to at least go 3-2 in these final games.

Final Tally

In totaling up the wins and losses across these "quarters" of the season, we see the Packers ending the regular season at 13-4.

Pundits have the Pack going anywhere from 10-7 to 13-4. Yes, we're on the high end of the prognostications. But that's how it all shakes out in this quarter-based look at the schedule.

May it be so.

Go Pack Go!!!