Now, unlike some bloggers and pundits who will analyze every game and give you their win-lose score for each of the upcoming 16 games, yours truly takes a different approach. One which has served well over the past seasons. We break the season down by quarters and see how things could go. Each season has an ebb and flow to it based upon more than just the opponent. There's also the overall schedule to consider, the order in which a particular team will appear as the opponent, who the Packers play away and who the team plays at home. That sort of thing.
Now, do I take a look at all sorts of stats to arrive at my prediction? Nope. Don't have time to do that. Nor the inclination. This prediction is far less science than art...and that's using the term "art" quite loosely. "Guess" might be more accurate. Which, if you really think about it, dear reader, makes what you are about to read just about as good as anyone else's prediction.
So, without further ado, here we go.
2013 First Quarter: Sept. 8 - Oct. 6
This actually covers the first five weeks of the regular season, as the Packers -- quite atypically compared to recent years -- have their bye week in Week 4...not great.
Anyway, the sequence of teams for this quarter of the season is:
- Sept. 8 - 49ers - Away
- Sept. 15 - Redskins - Home
- Sept. 22 - Bengals - Away
- Week 4 - Bye Week
- Oct. 6 - Lions - Home
As to the other games, especially if the Packers lose the opener, I'd expect three wins, with two of the three games played at Lambeau Field.
That's how we get to 3-1 for this portion of the schedule.
Second Quarter: Oct. 13 - Nov. 4
- Oct. 13 - Ravens - Away
- Oct. 20 - Browns - Home
- Oct. 27 - Vikings - Away
- Nov. 4 - Bears - Home
Third Quarter: Nov. 10 - Nov. 28
- Nov. 10 - Eagles - Home
- Nov. 17 - Giants - Away
- Nov. 24 - Vikings - Home
- Nov. 28 - Lions - Away
We're figuring that Packers will go 3-1 in this third quarter of the season, with the Giants as the more probable loss.
Fourth Quarter: Dec. 8 - Dec. 29
- Dec.8 - Falcons - Home
- Dec. 15 - Cowboys - Away
- Dec. 22 - Steelers - Home
- Dec. 29 - Bears - Away
The expectation here is that the Pack will go 2-2 in this final stretch of the season although, again, which games will be wins and which losses...too hard to say at this point. Check back for each game preview as the season goes on.
Bottom line: Packers 11-5 or 10-6
I know, that's a bit of a fudge factor there, but at least it's reasonable...or at least honest. And you can judge for yourself how the Packers will fare through each quarter of the season.
At 11-5, the Packers win the NFC North division and are into the playoffs as a division winner not as a wildcard. If they go 10-6, the Pack will still win the division but will not have as favorable a route through the playoffs.
Still, I'm projecting the Packers and Seahawks meet in the NFC Championship.
However the Pack gets there, though, that brings us to...
The Super Bowl Prediction
In reading and listening to all the various prognostications and at how the oddsmakers are setting things up at this moment, it seems as if the favorites in the NFC are the 49ers, followed by the Seahawks, followed by the Packers.
Well, it may be a bit of a homer thing, but the prediction here for the Super Bowl teams are: the Packers and the Denver Broncos. Winner? What are you, goofy? The Green Bay Packers!!!
Football season and the road to the Super Bowl starts for the Packers in less than 24 hours. Go Pack Go!!!